A Break For Two More Days
The end of the week ends on a relatively quiet note for the region. High pressure works into the region which may kick up a few clouds and the breeze on Friday. Outside of a slight chance of a flurry in the mountains, the area stays precipitation free for the day. After another frosty start with the mountains, foothills & protected coastal areas below zero and slightly above elsewhere, temperatures will be hard pressed to reach 10° north and may break 20° along the shorelines for daily highs. Winds will again be noticeable out of the northwest at 10-20 mph, with some higher gusts possible in the mountains. Wind chill values for the day appear to range near -10° up north to near 0° over the rest of the region.
Any clouds clear out Friday night, and the thermometer plummets again, with many areas falling double digits below zero, leaving a bitter start to Saturday. Saturday could be one of the better days of late with abundant sun, less wind, and temperatures creeping up a bit.
Tracking Sunday Into Monday
Guidance has been consistent over the past few days on our upcoming system coming in the form of a long wave trough dropping down from Canada, moving southeastward. Models have been consistent with keeping most of the moisture to the south, which would bring light snow with 1-3″ or less over most of the area. There is a couple things going on with this event that make me a bit concerned. For one, the Arctic high that enters the region Friday into Saturday is a relatively strong one, which concerns me on timing of the event. Models are being fairly progressive in moving it along, which with air this cold, it usually doesn’t move in the time frame they say it will. This idea favors more of a southern push of the precipitation, which if that idea verifies, may lead to flurries and not much else. The second concern was the idea the 12z European model came up with in todays run. On the GFS graphic above, I added two areas of low pressure circled in orange. While these areas of low pressure are relatively weak, anything that may cause the trough to move northward changes the snowfall prediction. All the models are quite stingy with snow for this event, and it very well could be a relative non-event for most. It’s these little nuances that models put out or don’t that make me wonder how this will play out, either way.
Light snow ends for most Monday morning, with exception of the mountains seeing flurries & squalls through the day as northwest winds crank up. It appears to remain breezy into Tuesday as the sun returns. Temperatures climb close to their seasonal normals to start off the week. Our next event of concern appears Wednesday into Thursday, which may bring mixed precipitation and rain. It’s too early to tell for sure. We will update on that over the weekend.
Follow the Western Maine Weather Team on Twitter!
Would you like an event-specific forecast for your non-profit or charity event? We at Western Maine Weather would love to help! Send us a message on our Facebook page with the date of your event, and for more information.
Thank you for your support of Western Maine Weather! All of us strive to bring you comprehensive detailed forecasts that you won’t find anywhere else in the region. Your likes & shares on Facebook, as well as re-tweets on Twitter are much appreciated. You may not like the weather, but our goal is that you’ll like the way it is presented to you… straightforward, timely, and honestly without the hype.
Never miss a post by signing up for instant FREE email updates. You can do so with confidence that your address will never be sold to a third-party spammer. Scroll back up and look for the link to sign up at the bottom of the right side menu. Emails are mobile phone & tablet friendly, too!
Forecasts can and do change. Please consult with the National Weather Service and local media for the latest information.
Stay updated, stay alert & stay safe!