12.22.14 #MEwx #Wet Weather on the way for Western #Maine

Wet Weather In Store For Tomorrow

WMW12-22-14 TUESDAY FORECAST

NAM For Tuesday at 10:00PM

A high pressure system will move away from the area tomorrow allowing a weakening low pressure system to ride up the coast and bring us rain showers on and off throughout the day. Models are indicating some cold air damming tomorrow that might keep temperatures cold enough to support snow or freezing rain. Another low pressure system over Wisconsin will move our way for Wednesday which will keep the rain with us. High temperatures tomorrow will be in the 30s to around 40 along the coast.

Big Travel Day For Tomorrow

WMW12-22-14 TRAVEL TUESDAY

Tomorrow is a big travel day for a lot of people. The forecast is calling for showers throughout the day for us. Across the nation we will see bad travel for the northeast and the mid-north states with bad travel also down into the southeast. Good travel weather is expected out on the west coast with some bad spots up in Washington state.

Christmas Eve

WMW12-22-14 WEDNESDAY SETUP

Wednesday is looking to be a messy day with rain throughout the day as a low pressure system moves northeast out of Kentucky. Since this low pressure system is to the east of us it will be a mainly rain event. This will help melt the snow which isn’t good for you folks who want a white Christmas. This low pressure system will slide northeast so by Christmas Day we will be left with some scattered snow showers.

Will This Effect My Travel Plans on Wednesday?

WMW 12-22-14 WEDNESDAY TRAVEL

Most of the east coast will see poor travel conditions on Christmas Eve. Most of the southwest into the plain states will see good travel conditions. The northwest will see poor travel conditions with another storm system moving into their area.

Christmas Day: Flurries Possible

WMW12-22-14 CHRISTMAS DAY

Christmas day is looking to be a mostly cloudy day as the low pressure system departs to the northeast leaving us with scattered snow flurries. A Northeast wind will be likely that day.

White Christmas Forecast

WMW12-22-14 WHITE CHRISTMAS FORECAST

Are you dreaming of a white Christmas? If you are in the mountains and far north then your dream will be a reality. Not much has changed from Saturday’s posting of this map. We are still expecting the farther north you go the more likely you’re going to have a white Christmas. People along the coast who want a white Christmas, I’m sorry to say that the odds are just not on your side. With a >25% chance of having at least an inch on the ground, this Christmas will be brown.

Next Disturbance On Monday?

Models right now are indicating the threat of seeing a storm Sunday into Monday. It is too far out to give exact timing and event details. Stay tuned to Western Maine Weather For Details on this storm in the coming days.

Western Maine Weather 5-Day Outlook

WMW12-22-14 5-DAY OUTLOOK

Note: ↑ = Rising Temperatures

I’ll be back in the morning with another post.

-Bobby Koenig

Thank you for your support of Western Maine Weather! All of us strive to bring you comprehensive detailed forecasts that you won’t find anywhere else in the region. Your likes & shares on Facebook, as well as re-tweets on Twitter are much appreciated. You may not like the weather, but our goal is that you’ll like the way it is presented to you… straightforward, timely, and honestly without the hype. 

Never miss a post by signing up for instant FREE email updates. You can do so with confidence that your address will never be sold to a third-party spammer. Scroll back up and look for the link to sign up at the bottom of the right side menu. Emails are mobile phone & tablet friendly, too! 

Forecasts can and do change. Please consult with the National Weather Service and local media for the latest information.

From all of us at Western Maine Weather, we wish you a wonderful & memorable holiday season. 

Stay updated, stay alert & stay safe! 

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Posted in General, Winter 2014-15

12.21.14 #MEwx Nice First Full Day of #Winter on Monday, Conditions Go Downhill Mid-Week

Cloudy but Nice Monday on Tap

Monday, December 22 2014

Monday, December 22 2014

Monday will continue the cloudy trend across Western Maine, with scattered snow showers possible along the coast, particularly over the mid-coast. Highs should make it into the upper 30s for most. Meanwhile, to our south, warmer and moist air will begin to move in ahead of our next storm system, set to bring heavy rain to the area on Wednesday.

Storm To Bring Heavy Rain, Strong Wind to Western Maine Mid-Week

Mid-Week December 23-24 2014

Mid-Week December 23-24 2014

Low pressure will travel West of Maine Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. This will set the stage for a heavy rainfall event before and even on Christmas Day. For now, most models indicate just scattered rain showers on Tuesday. However, these showers could fall in the form of a mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain for a time early Tuesday morning in the mountains, before the warmer air has a chance to move in from the south. Tuesday night, steadier precipitation will begin to push in, as temperatures continue to warm. By Wednesday afternoon, moderate rain should be moving in with winds increasing as well. Speaking of winds, most models indicate that we could see a few wind gusts to 45 MPH or more for much of Wednesday evening into Christmas day. This combined with the heavy rain will likely cause a few power outages. The steady rain should continue right through early Christmas morning, before potentially clearing out by mid-day. However, this is still a few days out, and timing will likely change. Most models are indicating a good 1-2 inches of rain with this system, which could cause some urban flooding problems south, with the potential for more serious flooding issues in the mountains, which still have appreciable snow on the ground. Since this forecast will likely continue to change and evolve, stay tuned to Western Maine Weather for a more detailed analysis in the coming days.

Western Maine Weather 5-Day Outlook

5-DayDec212014

5-Day Outlook Dec 22-26 2014

*Note: ↑=Rising Temperatures ↓=Falling Temperatures

-Alex Reed

Thank you for your support of Western Maine Weather! All of us strive to bring you comprehensive detailed forecasts that you won’t find anywhere else in the region. Your likes & shares on Facebook, as well as re-tweets on Twitter are much appreciated. You may not like the weather, but our goal is that you’ll like the way it is presented to you… straightforward, timely, and honestly without the hype. 

Never miss a post by signing up for instant FREE email updates. You can do so with confidence that your address will never be sold to a third-party spammer. Scroll back up and look for the link to sign up at the bottom of the right side menu. Emails are mobile phone & tablet friendly, too! 

Forecasts can and do change. Please consult with the National Weather Service and local media for the latest information.

From all of us at Western Maine Weather, we wish you a wonderful & memorable holiday season.

Posted in General

12.20.14 #MEwx Mostly #Sunny For Tomorrow; #Storm On Christmas Eve for Western #Maine?

WMW12-20-14 AUTUMN END

Another Sunny Day Tomorrow

WMW12-20-14 Tomorrow's Weather

We will have another nice day on tap for tomorrow. High pressure will dominate the area tomorrow. This will allow northeast winds to bring down chilly air from Canada. Scattered snow showers are possible tomorrow along the coast. High temperatures tomorrow will be in the 20s to around 30°.

The Winter Solstice

WMW12-20-14 AUTUMN END

Even though we’ve already had a good taste of winter, tomorrow marks the winter solstice at 6:03 PM. The winter solstice occurs when the sun’s rays are directed at the Tropic of Capricorn. During this time the northern hemisphere is tilted away from the sun making the sun’s rays not directed at us. The winter solstice in the northern hemisphere is also the summer solstice in the southern hemisphere. The earth being tilted like this also controls the sun’s rise and set time. That’s why the winter solstice has the shortest daylight time of the year.

WMW12-20-14 Solstice

Since the shortest daylight time of the year is tomorrow, what happens through the rest of winter? 

Throughout the rest of winter the earth slowly starts to tilt back on its axis. As it does so the days slowly start to get longer. By the time the spring equinox comes the earth’s axis has tilted enough so the sun’s rays hit the equator the most. By the time the summer solstice comes the sun’s rays will hit the Tropic of Cancer the most.

WMW12-20-14 How Winter Works

Christmas Eve Storm

WMW12-20-14 Christmas Eve

2 low pressure systems will impact our area for Christmas Eve. The first one, over Virginia, will slowly start to move northeast as a blocking high pressure system (impacting our weather now) will slide east and move away. this will allow strong southwest winds to move warm air into the area. This will make the precipitation associated with the low pressure system become rain. The second low pressure system, over Michigan, will move east and may drag some cold air in behind it on Christmas Day which may result in some snow flurries on Christmas Day. Accumulations from this storm will be pretty substantial with 1-3″ of rain expected for the area. Power outages will also be a possibility with winds being gusty throughout the storm and in some places where there is still snow on tree branches. The snow will absorb the rain which will make the branches very heavy. Add the wind into that factor, it will lead to a messy situation. Stay tuned to Western Maine Weather for more details on this storm as they become available.

Will We See A White Christmas?

WMW12-20-14 Christmas Eve

The white Christmas report is in for today and it is not looking good for coastal areas. The mountains are almost guaranteed a white Christmas with a good snow pack. The foothills are split, the farther north in the foothills you are, the more likely you will have a white Christmas. Coastal areas, which haven’t seen much snow so far, have the Least likely chance of having a white Christmas. In general, the farther north you are, the more likely you are going to have a white Christmas.

Western Maine Weather 5-Day Outlook

WMW12-20-14 5-DAY

Note: ↑ = Rising Temperatures

I’ll be back tomorrow morning with an update.

-Bobby Koenig

Thank you for your support of Western Maine Weather! All of us strive to bring you comprehensive detailed forecasts that you won’t find anywhere else in the region. Your likes & shares on Facebook, as well as re-tweets on Twitter are much appreciated. You may not like the weather, but our goal is that you’ll like the way it is presented to you… straightforward, timely, and honestly without the hype. 

Never miss a post by signing up for instant FREE email updates. You can do so with confidence that your address will never be sold to a third-party spammer. Scroll back up and look for the link to sign up at the bottom of the right side menu. Emails are mobile phone & tablet friendly, too! 

Forecasts can and do change. Please consult with the National Weather Service and local media for the latest information.

From all of us at Western Maine Weather, we wish you a wonderful & memorable holiday season. 

Stay updated, stay alert & stay safe! 

Tagged with: , , , ,
Posted in General, Winter 2014-15

12.19.14 #MEwx Coastal #Snow Showers Possible For Western #Maine Saturday; #Christmas Update

Fall Ends Quietly

SAT

Saturday brings the end to the autumnal equinox, and without fanfare. High pressure and mostly sunny skies appear to rule the day. Temperatures top out in the 20s for most of the region. An east/northeast wind develops in the afternoon which may bring some snow showers / flurries to the coastal areas. Accumulations may be enough to dust surfaces to perhaps as much as a half inch for extreme southern York County.

A Wet & Wild Christmas Likely

cmc_precip_mslp_east_23

Guidance is still having all kinds of fun trying to solve what will happen midweek, but at this point all are in agreement that this appears to be a liquid precipitation event for all areas. What snow pack is left over interior areas is likely in jeopardy to melt. The jury is still out on how much this will impact ski country for now. For folks travelling Christmas Eve night, expect a nasty windswept rain. Concerns for flooding are possible with this event, as well as coastal impacts.  The set up is looking somewhat similar to the 1994 Christmas Nor’Easter with Fujiwhara style effect, tropical characteristics, and polar attributes.

While Christmas Eve & night appear to be a wet one, concern remains for Christmas Day as cold air works into the region after the frontal passage. Temperatures appear to drop all day, and the threat for freezing and wrap-around snow showers are possible. Coastal areas will see astronomical high tides also through the period, and with a strong southeast wind pushing the ocean water toward land, minor storm surge, flooding, splash over, and beach erosion are possible at the times of high tide.

There is still a lot of details to figure out with this event. Please check back for updates over the weekend.

Western Maine Weather 5-Day Outlook

FD121914

Thank you for your support of Western Maine Weather! All of us strive to bring you comprehensive detailed forecasts that you won’t find anywhere else in the region. Your likes & shares on Facebook, as well as re-tweets on Twitter are much appreciated. You may not like the weather, but our goal is that you’ll like the way it is presented to you… straightforward, timely, and honestly without the hype. 

Never miss a post by signing up for instant FREE email updates. You can do so with confidence that your address will never be sold to a third-party spammer. Scroll back up and look for the link to sign up at the bottom of the right side menu. Emails are mobile phone & tablet friendly, too! 

Forecasts can and do change. Please consult with the National Weather Service and local media for the latest information.

From all of us at Western Maine Weather, we wish you a wonderful & memorable holiday season. 

Stay updated, stay alert & stay safe! 

Tagged with: , , , , ,
Posted in General, Winter 2014-15

12.18.14 #MEwx Some Sun To End The Week For Western #Maine; Weekend & #Christmas Outlook

High Pressure Works In For Friday

thu

It’s been nearly ten days since folks in some part of the mountains have seen sunshine for any period of time, and it appears that Friday will bring some sunshine to the north country and elsewhere. I can’t rule out a few early morning clouds around, but by midday, most areas will see more sun than clouds. High pressure will slowly slide to the east and will be the dominant feature for the area for the weekend.

Saturday appears to be decent early winter day. An onshore flow may develop in the afternoon which may bring a flurry or snow shower to the coast toward evening.

A weak disturbance will bring a few more clouds for Sunday, and a chance for snow showers region wide. Monday appears to be similar as Sunday, with partial sun, with flurries & squalls about.

Looking Ahead To The Holiday Week

12z Canadian GGEM Model Idea at 8 AM Tuesday

12z Canadian GGEM Model Idea at 8 AM Tuesday

High pressure moves eastward come the first of next week. The major storm that models were concerned about forming for Sunday morning appears to get its act together off the DelMarVa late Monday. This is an intriguing set up as double barrel energy moves across the Northern Plains of the United States and the Southern Prairies of Canada. This presents a possible “Fujiwhara Effect” type-scenario which has the ability to juggle up potential weather solutions. As the potential for a major Sunday/Monday storm busted, the sense of this forecaster is models are struggling with this current pattern. This is cause for a concern.

12z Canadian GGEM Model IDEA at 1 AM Christmas Day

12z Canadian GGEM Model IDEA at 1 AM Christmas Day

The “Fujiwhara Effect” is synonymous with tropical systems where two systems work around each other and feed off of each other’s energy. This “storm dance” for a lack of better terms makes it hard to figure out. The 12z Canadian idea of a triple-barrel threat with Fujiwhara Effect attributes makes the forecast a bit more interesting to track. With the cold northern jet merging with the warmer southern jet, position along with timing of energy & precipitation arrival is critical.

christmaseve

 

Some models are calling for a strong “inside runner” that moves into Eastern Ontario, bringing heavy rain & wind for New England, eventually a cold front that forms in the midst of all of this energy will move through the region. When that happens, there is a certain snow / flash freeze threat that comes along with that. This of course happens if the Great Lakes low gains the upper hand. If is doesn’t, it is a much different situation, with likely a much different solution for the Northeastern United States.

christmas

Time will tell how this is going to play out, but it is reasonable to think at this point snow and/or flash freezing will be a factor here. It’s too early to nail down specific details on how & when this is going to play out. In any case of a double or triple barrel low threat, one of those energy sources is going to come out the winner when it is all over. At the very least, it appears to be a very windy Christmas day, with a threat of significant precipitation. What form it lands on the surface and the impacts of that on holiday travel & activity remains a mystery for now.

Again, models are still quite volatile. It would be wise to stay updated on this event.

Western Maine Weather 5-Day Outlook

FD121814

 

Thank you for your support of Western Maine Weather! All of us strive to bring you comprehensive detailed forecasts that you won’t find anywhere else in the region. Your likes & shares on Facebook, as well as re-tweets on Twitter are much appreciated. You may not like the weather, but our goal is that you’ll like the way it is presented to you… straightforward, timely, and honestly without the hype. 

Never miss a post by signing up for instant FREE email updates. You can do so with confidence that your address will never be sold to a third-party spammer. Scroll back up and look for the link to sign up at the bottom of the right side menu. Emails are mobile phone & tablet friendly, too! 

Forecasts can and do change. Please consult with the National Weather Service and local media for the latest information.

From all of us at Western Maine Weather, we wish you a wonderful & memorable holiday season. 

Stay updated, stay alert & stay safe! 

Tagged with: , , , , ,
Posted in General, Winter 2014-15

12-17-14 #MEwx Snowy Start To Thursday, Next Storm Threat Arrives Sunday

Snowy Start To Thursday

WMW p29

Hello everyone! Jack Sillin here with the evening update featuring some of everything – snow, sun, and storms.

Tomorrow will be a day of transition as low pressure moves into Canada. Expect residual rain to change to snow tonight as cold air moves into the region from the north. Snow will establish itself more firmly in the mountains with NW facing slopes seeing the most snow. Accumulations will range from near 6″ in the mountains to a coating at the coast. Snow will wind down late morning at the coast and will stick around to dusk in the mountains. NW winds will be gusty at times tomorrow and will bring upslope clouds/flurries to the mountains and clear skies to the coast. Highs tomorrow will range from 27-36 highest temps along the coast.

Clear skies return for most Friday as high pressure crests over the region. Expect lighter winds and more sun for all along with slightly cooler temps. Highs look to be mainly in the 20’s with some coastal areas hitting the freezing mark.

Saturday looks to be the last day of guaranteed no precip before the storm train rolls into town later in the weekend. Expect increasing clouds but to what degree depends largely on the track and intensity of our first storm due to arrive sometime Sunday. Highs will range from 20-31.

Multiple Storm Threats Late Weekend/Early Next Week

12Z GFS Showing 500mb Heights and Vorticy for 7PM Sunday

12Z GFS Showing 500mb Heights and Vorticy for 7PM Sunday

Our weather pattern will be getting a little more active next week with multiple storm threats to watch out for. The first one looks to arrive late in the weekend possibly extending into Monday. This first threat does not appear to be a big one and the main effect at this point looks to be clouds with some coastal rain/snow possible as well. The map above shows the piece of energy responsible for the storm and where it tracks will be key in determining the track and intensity of the storm. For now, a cloudy Sunday is a good bet with rain/snow possible. Highs 21-33.

Monday looks to be the break in the action as one storm pulls away and another approaches. Expect lots of clouds with the chance for rain and snow. There are lots of questions that still have yet to be answered but clouds look to be a safe bet similar to Sunday. Highs will range from 28-35. Again, the amount of clouds as well as rain and snow will depend on the tracks of the storms that will affect the region.

Our next storm threat arrives on Tuesday which, as of now, looks to be more wet than white. Still lots of uncertainty and lots of time to change but some sort of precip is likely. There are indications that this storm could be quite strong so winds could be an issue but again, there is still time for this to change.

Full WMW 5-Day Forecast

WMW p30

 

Our next update will be on Facebook tomorrow morning.

Thank you for your support of Western Maine Weather! All of us strive to bring you comprehensive detailed forecasts that you won’t find anywhere else in the region. Your likes & shares on Facebook, as well as re-tweets on Twitter are much appreciated. You may not like the weather, but our goal is that you’ll like the way it is presented to you… straightforward, timely, and honestly without the hype. 

Never miss a post by signing up for instant FREE email updates. You can do so with confidence that your address will never be sold to a third-party spammer. Scroll back up and look for the link to sign up at the bottom of the right side menu. Emails are mobile phone & tablet friendly, too! 

Forecasts can and do change. Please consult with the National Weather Service and local media for the latest information.

From all of us at Western Maine Weather, we wish you a wonderful & memorable holiday season. 

Stay updated, stay alert & stay safe! 

Posted in General, Winter 2014-15

12.16.14 #MEwx Wintry Mix Wednesday and Thursday, Snow This Weekend?

Latest From The National Weather Service

NWSUPDATE1216

Watches/Warnings/Advisories As of 600 PM Tuesday

FOR THE LATEST  UPDATES FROM NWS GRAY ► CLICK HERE

Wintry Mix Wednesday and Thursday

StormThu

Wednesday Dec 17. Courtesy of: Accuweather

Rain will develop across the area Wednesday night. With temperatures around freezing for some areas, mainly inland, a wintry mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain will be likely at the onset of precipitation. Temperatures will likely fall a bit as precipitation moves in. Precipitation will also become more steady as we continue to move through the night-time hours. Wednesday morning, a well defined coastal low will develop near Cape Ann Massachusetts and move Northeast. Most areas will likely change to all rain for a brief period Wednesday morning. However, as the day goes on, the wind flow aloft will change with the passage of this low pressure system, bringing in colder air. Rain will begin changing to snow from north to south during the afternoon, with the rain snow line probably making it towards the foothills as get into Wednesday evening. Overnight Thursday, the rain snow line will continue to make it’s way south, making it all the way to the coast by early Thursday morning. As far as accumulations go, 4-8 inches can be expected in the mountains, with 3-6 inches in the foothills, and a dusting to an inch for much of the coastal plain. wedsnowmap

Still Watching This Weekend

page (2)

Saturday. Courtesy of: Accuweather

For the past few days we here at Western Maine Weather have been watching the potential for a coastal low pressure system to impact the area with some snow. That potential still exists today as afternoon models continue rolling in. As for right now, not much has changed. There are essentially two scenarios. Scenario 1: Low pressure develops off of New Jersey and rides just offshore Sunday and Monday, bringing the potential for some snowfall to the area. While the low pressure that would ride up the coast in this scenario does not look as strong as it did Monday, there would still be some travel difficulties and the potential exists for a plowable snow. Scenario 2: Low pressure fizzles off of the coast of New Jersey, with little to no impact on the area. Both scenarios are feasible at the moment, and it’s difficult to tell which one will play out. Stay tuned to Western Maine Weather over the next couple of days, as we continue to iron out the details on this potential system.

Western Maine Weather 5-Day Outlook

5-Day Outlook Dec 17-21

5-Day Outlook Dec 17-21

The rest of the Western Maine Weather 5-Day Outlook consists of mostly sunny but colder conditions Friday, with partly sunny conditions and potentially a scattered flurry Saturday.

-Alex Reed

Thank you for your support of Western Maine Weather! All of us strive to bring you comprehensive detailed forecasts that you won’t find anywhere else in the region. Your likes & shares on Facebook, as well as re-tweets on Twitter are much appreciated. You may not like the weather, but our goal is that you’ll like the way it is presented to you… straightforward, timely, and honestly without the hype. 

Never miss a post by signing up for instant FREE email updates. You can do so with confidence that your address will never be sold to a third-party spammer. Scroll back up and look for the link to sign up at the bottom of the right side menu. Emails are mobile phone & tablet friendly, too! 

Forecasts can and do change. Please consult with the National Weather Service and local media for the latest information.

From all of us at Western Maine Weather, we wish you a wonderful & memorable holiday season. 

Stay updated, stay alert & stay safe! 

Posted in General
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