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The Quiet Before The Storm Tomorrow For The Super Bowl
Tomorrow Will be the quiet before the storm as the low pressure system that will effect our weather on Monday will continue to move to the east. High pressure will continue to hold on to give us one more nice day for the super bowl. Expect temperatures tomorrow to be in the negative single digits in the mountains to the lower teens along the coast. Wind chills will be a factor in the temperature tomorrow but won’t be as bad as they were today. We will see increasing clouds throughout the day as the low pressure approaches and moves off the coast early tomorrow morning.
So here we go again in the snow department. With deep cold air in place, this next storm will most likely be all snow with the mix line remaining safely to our south. The cold air will do a few things to the snow which will be important in trying to determine how much snow will fall. First off, on the ‘more snow’ side of things, cold dry air means super high snow ratios. With temps during the storm in the single digits on either side of zero, watch for snow ratios to be in the 20:1 to 25:1 range which should most likely more than make up for the lack of total water that falls from the sky during the storm. On the ‘less snow’ side, the cold air comes with dry air too which means that some of the snow will be eaten up before it can reach the ground. While this does not looks like a major threat for southern areas, northern areas will most likely see a very sharp cutoff between a decent storm and barely a flake.
Looking at accumulations, the coast should again be the jackpot with 8-14” likely. Higher amounts are likely in this area however we have yet to pin down where those areas will be. Stay tuned for later forecasts as those details become more clear. Snowfall tapers off as you head north with the northern mountains seeing just 3-6”. Consult our snow map above for your area specific forecast. As far as timing goes, snow looks to start before dawn Monday becoming heavy at times during the day Monday before tapering off Monday night.
This model graphic (Courtesy of AccuWeather) shows the projected Low Level Jet across the area Monday afternoon and evening. The Low Level Jet is essentially winds around a mile or so above the ground. As this graphic shows, winds above ground may approach 50 miles per hour at times Monday afternoon and evening. Cold air will help these winds mix down to the surface on Monday, with wind gusts approaching 45 miles per hour possible along the coast. This may lead to whiteout conditions, depending on the exact storm track. This is one of the many elements of the system that will need to be narrowed down over the next day or so, so stay tuned!
As with any coastal storm that features a prolonged period of onshore winds, coastal flooding will be a concern. Despite astronomically high tides, the peak storm surge of 1-2 feet should arrive during the low tide cycle and thus this will most likely not be a major coastal flooding event. That being said, during high tide cycles (11 AM Monday and 11:35 PM Monday) affected by the storm, some splash over and minor erosion are likely. Again, this does not look to be a major coastal flooding event but some minor impacts are likely.
Western Maine Weather 5-Day Outlook
We are keeping our eyes on another possible storm on Thursday that could bring us more snow. We will keep you posted as we get closer to then.
We will have another update on Facebook tomorrow morning. Have a great evening.
~Bobby Koenig, Jack Sillin, Alex Reed, & Mike Haggett
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Forecasts can and do change. Please consult with the National Weather Service and local media for the latest information.
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