Latest Watches, Warnings and Advisories from the National Weather Service
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Good evening, everyone! Alex Reed here with your Western Maine Weather evening update. Tonight I expect patchy freezing rain/sleet/snow to move primarily into the mountains, with scattered mixed showers elsewhere. Due to this, the National Weather Service has issued a Freezing Rain Advisory, which is in effect for the mountains of Western Maine, through 7 AM Sunday morning. The radar image below shows patchy mixed precipitation moving in from the west. Lows tonight will range from 25 to 38 degrees
Warmer Weather Returns Early-Week Along with Some Rain
Warmer weather is poised to make a return Sunday-Tuesday. Expect clouds to clear out early Sunday, but increase again later ahead of our next rain maker Monday. Highs Sunday will range from between 39 and 47 degrees.
Monday low pressure will pass to our west, initially dragging a warm front through during the pre-dawn hours. Scattered showers are possible with the front. Precipitation is then set to move in from south to north during the course of Monday morning. Due to the timing and position of low pressure, this should be primarily a rain event. Rainfall totals will be a general 1-2″. Winds will also increase during the day on Monday, with gusts to 40 MPH possible in the mid-morning – early afternoon hours. Highs on Monday will be much warmer (although it won’t feel it, with the rain and wind), ranging between 42 and 51 degrees. Precipitation will begin to move out Monday evening, tapering to showers by midnight Tuesday.
Cooler Weather Returns Tuesday and Wednesday
Tuesday will start out warm, with temperatures similar to Monday afternoon. However, a cold front will move through early, bringing drier air and increasing sun, but lowering temps. Afternoon temperatures will like be in the mid 30s for most on Tuesday, with highs being achieved in the early morning hours, ranging from 41 to 51 degrees. Due to the warm nature of Tuesday morning and the time from when precipitation ends to when temperatures drop below freezing, I am not very concerned about black ice at this point. Wednesday high temperatures will be around the same as temperatures Tuesday afternoon, ranging from 32 to 41 degrees. Clouds will increase on Wednesday ahead of our next storm, which I will talk about below.
Now, About Thanksgiving
The Thanksgiving forecast is ALWAYS a tricky one. There have been many years (potentially including this year) where storms have disrupted travel in the Northeast. Last year, a low pressure system moved inland, bringing with it high winds and heavy rain, but no snow. This year I am getting concerned about the potential for a low pressure system to develop Tuesday near North Carolina, and track parallel to the East Coast. There are many, many track potentials for this system, which determines the eventual impacts. The ECMWF model is persistent that a storm will travel up the east coast, then inland towards Maine and has been for the past few runs. This would bring mainly rain to the coast and foothills, with big snows in the mountains and far Northern areas. We then have the GFS (Seems like a nice compromise at the moment), which tracks the storm just offshore, bringing some light to moderate snow to coastal areas, with little or nothing in the mountains and the far north. We then have the Canadian model, which takes the low offshore, no problem. I urge you to stay tuned in the coming days as this forecast gets ironed out, to determine any potential impacts.
Western Maine Weather 5-Day Outlook
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Forecasts can and do change. Please consult with the National Weather Service and local media for the latest information.
Stay updated, stay alert & stay safe!